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The Winner is... File Sharing over the Internet!
TV could easily use P2P to extend its "free-to-air" ad-driven business model.

The logic goes like this:

Most TV is already free, so nothing is being "stolen" in file-trading.
Most television content owners want to reach more viewers for their advertisers.
One way to do that is via more distribution, which is expensive in broadcast
BitTorrent provides distribution for free
So if there were a way to let the content circulate on the P2P networks with advertising intact, this would seem like a Good Thing for all involved.

There are, however, another four reasons why this isn't quite as neat a fit for the networks as it appears at first glance:

Networks rightly assume that people will strip out the ads and circulate "clean" versions.
Even if the ads remain, most are designed for a specific time and place. "Now on sale" may not be true weeks later, and local ads don't make sense elsewhere. Unlike broadcast, P2P content can be viewed at any time (yes, the same is true of DVRs, and the advertisers aren't happy about that, either).

Local network affiliates often have geographic exclusives to certain shows. BitTorrent ignores geography.
Networks are concerned that widespread file trading of television content would compete with the fast-growing market for DVDs distribution of TV series. Although only a fraction of TV makes it to DVD, they don't always know which shows will make the cut at the start, in the broadcast window, so they don't want to limit their options by letting the files circulate online.
One can, however, imagine solutions to all of these:

Content owners could release the video in a protected form that makes it difficult to strip out the ads (you could even make it difficult to skip them). That packaging could also be smart enough to report back when played, giving networks more solid viewership numbers than they can get in broadcast. Alternatively, networks could just rely on revenues from product placement in the content, which is impossible to strip out.
They could only use ads that work well nationally and over a period of weeks. These tend to be ads for brands, rather than specific products, but there are plenty of those.

Quoth Bram: "Stop doing geographic exclusives." Indeed, many networks are moving away from that.
Make those protected videos expire after six months or so, so they won't be around to compete with the DVD if and when it comes out.
Let me be clear that these are my arguments, not Bram's. He's no fan of DRM (more on practical than moral grounds) and is hoping that more content-owners come around to the benefits of letting their video circulate freely without restrictions. And there some sign that's beginning to happen, with new examples including that of ADV Films, which distributes Anime in the US, using BitTorrent distribution for trailers and other promotional material. Bram now has a half-dozen people working with him to further commercialize the technology, making it easier for others to follow ADV's example.

I suspect it will take some form of content protection, such as the above, to get the networks to follow suit (they are, as you might imagine, incredibly risk-adverse when it comes to their golden geese). But one way or another, that day will come. The economic efficiencies of BitTorrent's distribution model are too compelling, especially for non-mainstream fare. The question is not if, but how and when P2P TV takes off.
Posted by: cyber-shoplifter   Posted on: 08/25/05 You are currently: a Guest | Members login | Terms of Use

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Hmmm, that would be the sound of the other shoe falling.  No_Ax_to_Grind | 08/25/05
You Can't Catch Me Bitty  itanalyst | 08/25/05
The Winner is... File Sharing over the Internet!  cyber-shoplifter | 08/25/05
Nope, more like file sales over the internet.  No_Ax_to_Grind | 08/25/05
I Am All For That....Wow, For Once I Agree  itanalyst | 08/25/05
first run movie on my television, laptop etc.  cyber-shoplifter | 08/25/05
Who's kiddin who?  GetReal-mac.com | 08/25/05
Re: Ad driven model  sullivanjc | 08/26/05
Penny wise, pound foolish  tic swayback | 08/25/05
I download stuff because....  figgle | 08/26/05
Why did they keep logs in the first place?  Patrick Jones | 08/25/05
Bragging rights for seeders?  No_Ax_to_Grind | 08/25/05
(nt) You expect criminals to be bright?  d_jedi | 08/26/05
Hollywood Finally Waking Up Why They Are Losing Profits  itanalyst | 08/25/05
Umm, so why steal something that sucks?  No_Ax_to_Grind | 08/25/05
Then you need to define crook..  icorson1 | 08/25/05
DING DING DING DING!! WE HAVE A WINNER. BEST POST OF WEEK!!!  itanalyst | 08/25/05
Not quite  rapson | 08/25/05
The Only Difference Is...  ab@... | 08/26/05
Agreed  rapson | 08/26/05
A better analogy  Real World | 08/26/05
Good  rapson | 08/26/05
sorry, but not the same  thelemite | 08/26/05
That's bunk  Real World | 08/26/05
trying to fit a square peg into a round hole?  thelemite | 08/26/05
It will all be fine once DRM is in place  cyber-shoplifter | 08/25/05
No I will explain it to you  osreinstall | 08/25/05
duh  Protector | 08/25/05
Wrong on all counts but 1  cyber-shoplifter | 08/25/05
Since you know this, why download it?  osreinstall | 08/25/05
Not completely  Patrick Jones | 08/25/05
You want your happiness guarenteed. How demanding!  osreinstall | 08/25/05
Once again, not completely...  Patrick Jones | 08/26/05
You are full of crap Pat  osreinstall | 08/26/05
Get your facts straight  kuronai | 08/25/05
Linux is a lemonade stand in comparison  osreinstall | 08/25/05
Nonsense  bugmenotznet | 08/25/05
Not at all  osreinstall | 08/25/05
Water is free...but sales are booming...  figgle | 08/26/05
Maybe for the portability  osreinstall | 08/26/05
downloads  alandee4 | 08/25/05
Big crooks. little crooks, they all smell like sewage.  No_Ax_to_Grind | 08/25/05
Sewage? You can smell that even with your  cyber-shoplifter | 08/25/05
Let me guess, in your little world that was funny?  No_Ax_to_Grind | 08/25/05
a stink for a stink..  cyber-shoplifter | 08/25/05
FALSE  frotty | 08/26/05
DING DING DING EYETEE AND ME AGREE  Squawkbox | 08/25/05
Are you nuts???  GetReal-mac.com | 08/25/05
Theft is Theft 2+2=4  Andromedat6 | 08/25/05
It's called infringement, not theft  thelemite | 08/26/05
semantics  frotty | 08/26/05
You would be the "catch" that gets thrown back.  No_Ax_to_Grind | 08/25/05
Pirates are so stupid !  realitycheck101 | 08/25/05
286 people being accused  Protector | 08/25/05
A flood starts with a drip!  GetReal-mac.com | 08/25/05
Pirates are so stupid  twater | 08/25/05
Why Bother Going After Movie Pirates At All?  itanalyst | 08/25/05
I agree..... please accept a wage cut.  GetReal-mac.com | 08/25/05
So sad, almost felt bad for these fools  ibabadur1 | 08/25/05
Don't care about either side  Boot_Agnostic | 08/25/05
Skipping the warnings  tic swayback | 08/25/05
Re  iwish40 | 08/25/05
Are you sure?  Patrick Jones | 08/25/05
get ready to not be able to fast forward  cyber-shoplifter | 08/25/05
screw the MPAA and RIAA  Protector | 08/25/05
I buy CDs and DVDs  cyber-shoplifter | 08/25/05
MPAA can they sue for timeshifting?  cyber-shoplifter | 08/25/05
MPAA ... RIAA ... MOB  gary.douglas@... | 08/25/05
I'm confused.  GetReal-mac.com | 08/25/05
Stupoid farmers, wanting to be paid for their food.  No_Ax_to_Grind | 08/25/05
ridiculous  frotty | 08/26/05
"Just enough piracy"  cyber-shoplifter | 08/25/05
agreed  alandee4 | 08/25/05
Just My Thoughts  tww356 | 08/25/05
ideas  alandee4 | 08/25/05
My thinking  iwish40 | 08/25/05
You didn't think very far...  No_Ax_to_Grind | 08/25/05
Re.  iwish40 | 08/25/05
millions!  frotty | 08/26/05
There is no such thing as copyright theft  guest42 | 08/25/05
PLEASE  rbryinc | 08/25/05
bruce willis  frotty | 08/26/05
Buy some, download some  movie-crew | 08/26/05
Re:  iwish40 | 08/26/05
nah  frotty | 08/26/05
Ok  iwish40 | 08/26/05
Timeshifting by download illegal?  rkhalloran | 08/26/05
Timeshifting by download illegal?  some_dude | 08/26/05
downloading and uploading  frotty | 08/26/05
what a load of crap...  some_dude | 08/26/05
subjective  frotty | 08/26/05
Hollywood NOT Waking Up  lawrencehutton@... | 08/26/05
That's all true  rapson | 08/26/05
Not necessarily  frotty | 08/26/05
The ZERO SUM myth  frotty | 08/26/05
On movie content  s_gamgee | 08/28/05
THE TIMES THEY ARE A CHANGNG  n2swift | 08/29/05
agreed  Draiko | 06/01/06
RoflmTo!  Lori777 | 09/20/05
What has Hitler and the MPAA got in common?  MCollier | 04/18/06
Revolution, evolution, or just crime?  Draiko | 06/01/06

What do you think?

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