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The development that is seeding right now is predicted by many to be a growth phase of around 10 years. Why ten years I'm not sure, probably it links to the cycles inherent in our financial systems.
Enterprise must adapt very quickly. Whilst they can grow internal systems organically, this will happen at a tortoise rate due to the nature of any Enterprise. They have two core problems when it comes to IT agility
1) Staff turn up 9-5 and get paid pretty much however well they perform (and yes, we all understand that consistent under-performing *may* end in being shown the door).
2) Anything that *may* happen needs to go through various layers of meetings, management speakization, interpretation, analysis, reports, back climbing, aged QA procedures and various other bits of nonsense that is par for the course.
There is a powerful root system taking hold amongst the "Agiles", and has been for 2-3 years now. Some of the best of the best can perform on a computer in a way that no Enterprise could keep up with - the Enterprise will be a little self-defeating when it comes to benefiting from the new found agility that Open Systems, Open Knowledge and people Working Together brings.
The technology incumbents will be slowly removed from the Enterprise, who will instead outsource the new development work to international teams of developers, managed by a locally based (country wise) tech company.
But that's just the Enterprise. The real value we will be seeing is the upstart tech firms who can streak ahead in terms of performance and market acceptance (going from 0 - something, as opposed to looking over their shoulders), and implementing stuff from user feedback at a rapid pace.
The cloud will prove to be one of the greatest developments in the last few decades.
We will see how the power of one Monopoly has created a shed load of me-too technologist who will not be able to see, adapt, nor cope in this new phase of development. Keeping people dumbed down to keep profits up for one monopoly was a very bad idea. I think I know which country will suffer most from this particular piece of history, and it's not the UK.
A lot of countries are going forwards, and there's positivity in the air. Some countries are going backwards and people are being protectionist rather than trying to out-develop all others. What OS do you run? Really? Oh right, well done - good for you. Is it the only one you know? Is it the only one you know really well? - Posted by: fr0thy2 Posted on: 06/15/08 You are currently: a Guest | Members login | Terms of Use
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