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- RE: Global warming: relax, nothing is going to happen
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...When a leading proponent for one point of view
suddenly starts batting for the other side, it's
usually newsworthy.
So why was a speech last week by Prof. Mojib Latif
of Germany's Leibniz Institute not given more
prominence?
Latif is one of the leading climate modellers in the
world. He is the recipient of several international
climate-study prizes and a lead author for the
United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC). He has contributed significantly to
the IPCC's last two five-year reports that have
stated unequivocally that man-made greenhouse
emissions are causing the planet to warm
dangerously.
Yet last week in Geneva, at the UN's World Climate
Conference--an annual gathering of the so-called
"scientific consensus" on man-made climate
change --Latif conceded the Earth has not warmed
for nearly a decade and that we are likely entering
"one or even two decades during which
temperatures cool."The global warming theory has
been based all along on the idea that the Atlantic
and Pacific Oceans would absorb much of the
greenhouse warming caused by a rise in man-
made carbon dioxide, then they would let off that
heat and warm the atmosphere and the land.
But as Latif pointed out, the Atlantic, and
particularly the North Atlantic, has been cooling
instead. And it looks set to continue a cooling
phase for 10 to 20 more years.
"How much?" he wondered before the assembled
delegates. "The jury is still out."
How have Latif and other global warming scientists
reconciled their previous belief in global warming
with the inconvenient truth staring them in the
face? Many claim that global warming will resume
after this global cooling phase:
Latif says he expects warming to resume in 2020
or 2030.
In the past year, two other groups of scientists--
one in Germany, the second in the United States--
have come to the same conclusion: Warming is on
hold, likely because of a cooling of the Earth's
upper oceans, but it will resume.
But how is that knowable? How can Latif and the
others state with certainty that after this long and
unforeseen cooling, dangerous man-made heating
will resume? They failed to observe the current
cooling for years after it had begun, how then can
their predictions for the resumption of dangerous
warming be trusted? - Posted by: MichaelWells Posted on: 09/21/09 You are currently: a Guest | Members login | Terms of Use
What do you think?
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